An in-depth analysis of the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' and its potential implications for your financial future.
When I was growing up, my dad (mechanical engineer turned stockbroker) used to tell me that he was happy paying more income tax because higher taxes meant he made more money that year. The more money he made, the more he would pay in taxes, assuming rates were unchanged. I’m not sure if he was looking for silver linings or teachable moments, but regardless, he is the only person I know who had such an attitude of gratitude when it came to paying taxes.
Most of us hate paying taxes — whether on earned income, property, goods and services, investment gains, gambling winnings, prizes, etc. — it doesn’t matter. Uncle Sam wants his cut. So “beautiful” wasn’t the word that naturally came to mind when President Trump announced his new tax legislation which was passed by the House of Representatives last week. Known as “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA), this 1,110 page proposal spells out a number of permanent extensions to earlier tax changes, as well as new changes that will impact nearly everyone.
Despite this sweeping proposal, Moody’s downgrade of US debt, rising bond yields, and Trump’s continuous tariff announcements, May turned out to be a great month for US stocks. The S&P 500 was up more than 6%, the DJIA gained 3.9%, and the NASDAQ climbed almost 10%. Inflation fell to 2.1% in April but corporate earnings took a hit in Q1 and profits are expected to be squeezed further given higher costs from tariffs.
Uncertainty and confusion continue to dominate investor sentiment. And as we often say at Ellevest, we can neither predict nor control markets. Instead, we focus our energy and efforts on managing through and around known factors — like fees, investment risk, and of course, taxes.
To no one’s surprise, OBBBA extends cuts to the federal marginal tax brackets for individuals that were part of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) during President Trump’s first term. These cuts are set to expire this year. The bill calls for permanently extending these cuts, which has the top federal tax bracket remaining at 37% — well below the historical average top tax bracket for individuals as shown in the chart below.
I checked in with Ellevest Wealth Management Financial Advisor Samantha Vient, CFP®, to learn what she’s sharing with clients about OBBBA as it is proposed today.
Here’s what she shared:
Taxes, earnings, and investments are invariably linked, which is why Ellevest’s financial advisors often work closely with clients’ accountants and attorneys to coordinate, review and help optimize clients’ investments to their tax posture and financial situation.
While we would all prefer to pay less taxes than more — all else being equal — tax cuts aren’t free and the cuts proposed in the OBBBA come with a hefty price tag. The changes outlined in the bill are projected to increase the federal deficit by $2.7 trillion over the next decade (hence Moody’s credit downgrade) — assuming no major changes by the Senate. While these tax cuts are expected to be offset by reduced spending, proposed new taxes on university endowments and private foundations, and increased revenue from imposed tariffs, those are likely not enough to cover the shortfall from reduced tax revenues. What’s needed is greater economic growth. Let’s hope the economy remains resilient.
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